Filed under Lennox Head, News by Lois Buckett on May 10, 2012 at 1:37 pm
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The Reserve Bank’s decision this week to reduce official interest rates by 50 basis points is good news.
Falling rates and solid signs of an improving local economy provide the Sydney housing market with the prospect for increased buyer activity and further increases in median house prices this year.
Australian Property Monitors has recently reported that the Sydney median house price rose strongly by 1.4 per cent in the March quarter.
The city’s suburban regions also recorded encouraging increases in median house prices during the quarter.
The only exception was the northern beaches, where prices were down marginally, by 0.5 per cent.
The top performer was the central coast, where median house prices rose by 5.7 per cent. The next best were Sydney’s south, up 5 per cent, Canterbury-Bankstown, up 4.8 per cent, and the western suburbs, where median house prices increased by 4.3 per cent.
Despite the increases, price levels in some areas are still below those recorded a year ago.
The worst performer over the past year was the lower north shore, where median house prices were down by 6.6 per cent.
The city and east region fell by 5.3 per cent and the northern beaches was down 4.9 per cent compared with March 2011.
Several regions, however, have recorded increases in the median house price in the past year. The best was the upper north shore, which was up 1.9 per cent.
Sydney’s west was up 1.8 per cent, while house prices in the south-west rose by 1.5 per cent over the year to March.
Dr Andrew Wilson is the senior economist for Fairfax-owned Australian Property Monitors.
Story source: www.domain.com.au
Filed under Finance, Lennox Head by Lois Buckett on May 1, 2012 at 2:49 pm
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The Reserve Bank of Australia has cut interest rates by 50 basis points in an unexpected move that should provide welcome relief to many homeowners.
The reduction takes the official cash rate to 3.75 percent.
Damian Smith CEO of financial comparison site RateCity called the RBA’s decision "a very big move".
"They haven’t moved rates this far since the depths of the Global Financial Crisis," Mr Smith told ninemsn.
"This cut will help thousands of households, with people on a $300,000 mortgage potentially saving around $1000 per year."
But he warns that some banks may be unwilling to pass on the rate cut in full.
"It’s unlikely that all lenders will pass on the full rate cut," Mr Smith said.
"The signals from the big four banks suggest that they will try to hold on to part of this rate cut."
Mr Smith points out that while the central bank has lowered the cash rate by 50 basis points since November, "the big four banks have only passed on around 40 basis points to variable rate home loan customers".
It is the largest cut to the cash rate since a 100 basis point reduction in February 2009, and the first time the RBA has lowered the cash rate since it cut it by 25 basis points at its December board meeting.
Business lobby groups, trade unionists and some economists had called for the board of the RBA to cut rates by 50 basis points to help ailing retailers, manufacturers and the stubborn housing market.
Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Finance, News by Lois Buckett on March 6, 2012 at 2:53 pm
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The board of the Reserve Bank of Australia has left the official cash rate at 4.25 percent for the second month in a row.
The move was widely expected with inflation at the bottom of the RBA’s target band of 2-3 percent and global economic conditions improving.
However, the news may not be met with the rapturous receptions of the past with many lenders now lifting their rates independently of the RBA.
"The rates that borrowers pay have been creeping away from the Reserve Bank’s cash rate movements since the global financial crisis," RateCity CEO Damian Smith said.
"Last month proves that all variable rate mortgage holders are vulnerable to rate hikes, regardless of what the RBA does."
The central bank left rates on hold last month but that didn’t stop the big four, ANZ, Commonwealth Bank, NAB and Westpac from lifting their standard variable mortgage rates between 0.06 and 0.10 percent.
Westpac-owned St George went even further by hiking their rates by 0.12 percent.
The RBA was expected to ease rates last month but shocked observers when it left the rate unchanged, citing the resilient domestic economy and improved global outlook.
The decision not to move rates suggested the RBA had confidence in the local economy, buoyed by low unemployment and continued demand for labour.
However, the new dynamic the banks have set up by raising rates independently of the RBA mean borrowers could be hit by a rate rise at any time.
"Borrowers should expect frequent small changes in rates, perhaps as often as every month," Mr Smith said.
Source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Finance, News by Lois Buckett on February 20, 2012 at 11:04 am
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When it comes to planning for retirement, paying off a mortgage should be the cornerstone of security.
Question
I am a 49-year-old single female earning $61,317 a year. I pay a compulsory members contribution of 2 per cent to the Public Servants Superannuation Fund.
I have $96,000 in super and another $11,000 in a rollover fund. I have a $232,000 mortgage on a house in the outer suburbs of Melbourne with repayments of $910 a fortnight.
My preservation age is 58 and my Centrelink age pension age is 67. I was hoping to retire well before 67 as I am barely capable of working full time now.
I realise my super balance is inadequate to enable early retirement. In one year I will attain 10 years service and my employer will match my personal super contributions up to 10 per cent.
I receive $911 a fortnight net wages after mortgage, tax and super deductions, so I struggle financially.
If I increase my super contributions it will create even more hardship.
Should I increase my mortgage repayments instead of increasing the super, or a combination of both?
Should I get income-protection insurance and trauma insurance (reducing my net income further), to avoid calamity if I were to get sick? S.M.
Answer
Yes, you can’t go past the offer to match contributions up to 10 per cent and you need to take this up to the full.
However, you also have to put priority on being able to retire in a mortgage-free home and thus avoid a drain on your retirement income. At least you can then rely on the full-age pension to meet your daily needs.
At your current rate of repayment, it will take you some 17 years to pay off your mortgage, assuming an interest rate of 7.3 per cent. Alternatively, you could pay off a loan of about $155,000 over nine years or $130,000 over seven years.
You need to decide whether you can afford this property or whether you are better off relocating to a smaller unit. Or wait until retirement to sell and then buy what you can then afford without a mortgage, but you’ll pay bigger repayments into a bigger mortgage until then.
For now, open a mortgage offset and use it as your main deposit account so that, by using a 55-day credit card, you can keep as much money in there for as long as possible. It’s the most tax-efficient way to handle your money.
Some people suggest salary sacrificing to the maximum and thus getting a tax deduction, then withdrawing a lump sum at retirement and paying off the mortgage.
This may suit those in high tax brackets, depending on whether their super investments make or lose money, but you are already struggling and will be struggling more.
Rollover the benefit from your rollover fund into, say, the AGEST super fund and buy salary continuance insurance through super so as not to reduce the amount you can put into your mortgage offset account.
That, plus your sick pay entitlements will, hopefully, insure against any trauma.
If you have a question for George Cochrane, send it to
Personal Investment
PO Box 3001
Tamarama, NSW, 2026
Helplines
Banking Ombudsman, 1300 780 808
pensions, 13 23 00
Story source: www.domain.com.au, story by George Cochrane
Filed under Finance, News by Lois Buckett on February 7, 2012 at 2:57 pm
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The Reserve Bank of Australia board has kept interest rates on hold, leaving the official cash rate at 4.25 percent.
The shock move comes as many parts of the economy continue to struggle with the side effects of the mining boom.
Data published yesterday showed retail trade contracted 0.1 percent in December, traditionally the sector’s strongest month.
In anticipation of a rate cut, the Prime Minister and Treasurer earlier urged banks to pass on the cut in full.
But the board’s decision means mortgage holders and borrowers will have to wait another month in hope of further interest rate relief.
The CEO of mortgage comparison company RateCity, Damian Smith, told ninemsn the surprise announcement does not spell impending doom for mortgagees.
"Borrowers shouldn’t be disheartened that the Reserve Bank kept the cash rate at 4.25 percent today because the sluggish home loans market means the ball is in your court," Mr Smith said.
"We’re seeing lenders offering discounts of up to one percent off their standard variable rates for basic home loans and many lenders — including the big four banks — have said they are willing to negotiate to retain their share of the home loan market."
The Australian dollar rose sharply immediately after the news, up more than 0.7 of a US cent.
At 1432 (AEDT), the currency was at 107.79 US cents, compared with 107.06 US cents just before the RBA announced its decision at 1430 (AEST) today.
Source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Finance, News by Lois Buckett on December 6, 2011 at 3:36 pm
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The Reserve Bank of Australia board has cut the official interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.25 per cent, giving mortgage holders and borrowers a pre-Christmas reprieve.
The RBA announced the rate cut at 2.30pm AEDT today following the board’s final meeting for the year.
It’s the second interest rate cut in as many months after the RBA lowered the cash rate on Melbourne Cup day in November.
In a statement issued with the announcement, RBA Governor Glenn Stevens said there had been "considerable turbulence" in financial markets and said financing conditions had become more difficult.
"This, together with precautionary behaviour by firms and households, means that the likelihood of a further material slowing in global growth has increased," Mr Stevens said in a statement accompanying the decision on Tuesday.
Economics analyst Ross Greenwood said Europe’s debt crisis would have been a significant factor in the RBA’s decision.
"The Reserve Bank indicated that it is still concerned about the European economic situation and the prospects of a global slowdown hurting Australia and its export markets," Greenwood told ninemsn.
While it’s good news for mortgage holders and borrowers, Greenwood cautioned consumers not to expect the banks to pass on the full interest rate.
Analysts were divided about whether the RBA would cut the rate today, with a survey of 14 economists conducted by AAP revealing seven tipping a cut, and seven predicting rates would stay on hold for another month.
Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Finance, First Home Buyers by Lois Buckett on December 6, 2011 at 11:58 am
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Economists are divided on whether borrowers will get a second interest rate cut in as many months on Tuesday.
Seven of the 14 economists surveyed by AAP say the RBA will cut the cash rate to 4.25 per cent from 4.5 per cent on December 6.
On Melbourne Cup day, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the cash rate from 4.75 per cent, saying that recent information suggested inflation had been contained.
With inflation no longer a problem, the bias for the RBA is now firmly leaning towards rate cuts, with 10 of the 14 economists forecasting rate cuts by the middle of 2012.
Citigroup head of economics Paul Brennan is expecting the RBA to cut rates on Tuesday, despite expectations of strong economic growth in the September quarter.
"We see this as a policy of least regret given that the outlook for global growth has continued to weaken in the past month to well below trend," Mr Brennan said.
"We see scope to lower the cash rate to the bottom of the neutral range over the next few months, which would imply a cash rate of four per cent over the next three months."
The biggest risk to economic growth comes from Europe, which may well go into recession, or start another financial crisis, as several members of the euro struggle to meet debt repayments.
There are also local risks to economic growth.
In the past month the RBA, Treasury and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) have cut economic growth forecasts for 2012.
In addition to that, official figures for October showed a 10.7 per cent fall in building approvals and retail spending only rising 0.2 per cent.
On the other hand Australia’s mining boom is still going strong, with the sector making its biggest ever contribution to economic growth.
Nomura Australia chief economist Stephen Roberts said he doesn’t expect the cash rate to move for the foreseeable future unless something bad happens overseas.
"My forecast is that they are going to leave it at 4.5 per cent," he said.
"I’m assuming they will hold it neutral all the way through to the end of 2012 but my proviso is if Europe generally does go to hell in a handbasket, then they can drop interest rates a long way."
NAB senior economist Spiros Papadopoulos said the RBA won’t cut on Tuesday but by early next year the pressure will build for another rate cut.
"Obviously there’s a risk that they might cut interest rates next week, given everything that’s been happening offshore in the last couple of weeks," he said.
"On balance, given the fact that the domestic economy has been holding up okay we don’t think they need to rush in to cutting rates."
Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under News, Research by Lois Buckett on November 4, 2011 at 11:58 am
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With the Reserve Bank serving up a rate cut, it’s a smart move to keep your repayments at the same level. Many lenders don’t automatically reduce your repayments when rates fall.
That doesn’t mean, of course, that you’re not getting a cut in interest rates – just that your weekly or fortnightly (or monthly, but don’t pay monthly, it will cost you more in the long run, as explained below) repayments stay the same.
That’s smart because automatically you’re paying an extra $45-$60 (or whatever it equates to on your mortgage) a month, which will see you get out of the debt-jail sooner.
And with house prices stagnant or falling, the one smart way to make money out of your property is pay it off more quickly and reduce the overall cost of acquiring it.
It has, of course, always been the best way to do things. Ask any pre-baby boomer and they will tell you that.
But in the heady debt-fuelled days of recent past it seemed too easy that you could buy a place, sit it out, burn up the redraw facility on the loan on cars, clothes and overseas holidays, and still double your money in a decade. However, after such big run-ups in house prices, everything has softened and we’re not likely to see similar increases in home prices anytime soon.
Not that a slowing housing market is necessarily bad – despite the general pall it throws over things. Investors may want those days to return but most people can see that steady prices are a lot healthier.
Houses, after all, are primarily for living in. There are other money-making vehicles out there that don’t put the cost of basic shelter out of the average person’s reach.
And the slowing housing market also – in part – took the pressure off the Reserve Bank to keep hiking rates after last year’s Melbourne Cup.
When it comes to the cost of acquiring a home, you can do it the expensive way – borrowing the money (as most of us have to do), or the really, really expensive way (borrowing money and taking forever to pay it off).
The Figures
Let’s assume you’re paying 7 per cent on your mortgage now and you’ve borrowed $500,000 to buy your place. Pay it off monthly over 25 years and you’ll fork out a total of about $1,060,147.
Add another $60 a month to your repayments and you’ll be up for a total over the life of the loan of $1,031,230, saving $28,918.
Pay down an extra $200 a month, or about $50 a week, and suddenly you’re up for a six-figure total instead of a seven, of about $975,321. You’ll also save an impressive $84,842. And you’ll walk away from the shackles of that mortgage more than three years earlier.
Of course your mortgage might not be $500,000, so to find out how it works in your situation check out some of the online calculators such as this. It’s worth bookmarking the site and going back to it every time you need a bit of motivation to pay down the mortgage faster.
And another trick – now well known by many – is to pay fortnightly and not monthly. You’ll end up thousands of dollars ahead by taking advantage of the fact there’s 12 months in the year, but 26 fortnights, meaning you make one fortnight’s repayment more per year than you would if you were paying monthly.
Story by Carolyn Boyd www.domain.com.au
Filed under News, Real Estate by Lois Buckett on November 1, 2011 at 6:28 pm
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Australia’s biggest home lenders cut mortgage rates soon after the central bank reduced the cash rate for the first time since April 2009.
Westpac took just 15 minutes to pass on the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 0.25 percentage point rate cut in full on Tuesday. It will lower its standard variable home loan rate (SVR) to 7.61 per cent from November 14.
Westpac is the nation’s second biggest mortgage lender by market share,
Bank of Queensland (BOQ), and Commonwealth Bank (CBA), Australia’s biggest home lender, followed suit, cutting their SVR to 7.61 per cent and 7.56 per cent respectively.
BOQ’s rate cut will take effect on November 11, and CBA’s on November 4.
ANZ Banking Group and National Australia Bank (NAB) said their interest rates were under review.
The cuts by the bigger Sydney-headquartered lenders come almost two years after Westpac ignited public outrage by lifting its SVR by 45 basis points after the RBA’s rate hike of 25 basis points.
Last November CBA did the same, with its rivals passing on rate rises of between 35 and 43 basis points, helping to prompt a Senate inquiry into competition within the banking sector.
NAB has consistently tried to undercut its rivals to win market share, and last Thursday posted a record annual cash profit of $5.5 billion on strong growth in home lending and deposits.
Westpac retail and business banking group executive Rob Coombe said economic weakness in Europe was having a negative effect on Australian business and consumer confidence.
"A reduction in interest rates will provide a timely boost to sentiment and generate a positive flow-on effect for the broader Australian economy," he said in a statement.
The rate cut will reduce repayments on an average $250,000 mortgage by about $41 per month, he said.
BOQ managing director Stuart Grimshaw announced the rate cut on his first day with the bank as its new boss, saying that with Christmas approaching it was the right thing to do.
CBA has 27.8 per cent of Australia’s home loan market.
Westpac has a 26.4 per cent share, while NAB has 15.6 per cent, ANZ 14.3 per cent, Suncorp 2.8 per cent, Bendigo and Adelaide Bank 2.6 per cent and BOQ 2.2 per cent according to figures from the banking regulator.
Westpac will report its annual result on Wednesday followed by ANZ’s profit result on Thursday.
Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Lennox Head, News by Lois Buckett on November 1, 2011 at 2:43 pm
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Homeowners have been granted a long awaited reprieve, with the Reserve Bank opting to drop interest rates by 25 basis points.
The cut continues what is becoming a tradition, with the Reserve Bank changing the cash rate on Melbourne Cup Day for the sixth year in a row.
It is also the first time in a year that rates have shifted in either direction, with last year’s race tarnished by a surprise 25 basis point bump.
The Reserve Bank’s decision comes after the TD Securities-Melbourne Institute data revealed inflationary pressure was at a 19-month low.
The Institute’s inflation gauge showed a 0.1 percent rise in headline and trimmed mean measures, prompted largely by a massive drop in fruit and vegetable prices.
The rise keeps inflation at a 19-month low of 2.6 percent, well within the Reserve Bank’s target band.
The Reserve Bank last cut interest rates in April 2009. Following a steady climb in 2010, interest rates have stayed on hold since last November.
The last time the Reserve Bank stayed put on Melbourne Cup day was in 2005, midway through the cash rate’s year-long stint at 5.5 percent.
Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Lennox Head, News by Lois Buckett on October 4, 2011 at 5:19 pm
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The central bank has decided to keep the cash rate unchanged this month and has opened the door for possible future cuts.
The decision was expected, with all 15 economists surveyed last week by AAP predicting the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would keep rates on hold at 4.75 per cent on Tuesday.
The central bank’s board last raised the rate from 4.5 per cent in November 2010.
But the focus was on the statement accompanying the decision, in which RBA Governor Glenn Stevens indicated he was less concerned that inflation would accelerate.
"The path for inflation may now be more consistent with the two to three per cent target in 2012 and 2013," he said.
That meant rate cuts were now on the table.
"An improved inflation outlook would increase the scope for monetary policy to provide some support to demand, should that prove necessary," Mr Stevens said.
UBS interest rate strategist Matthew Johnson said the RBA appeared to have downgraded its growth and inflation forecasts.
"I think that the bank has gone from thinking that things were too strong a couple of months ago, to being around trend now," Mr Johnson said.
"If there’s a further deteriorating, they’ll ease policy."
He said the statement prompted investors to buy bonds, on expectations that the central bank may soon cut the cash rate.
The December 10-year bond futures contract rose to 95.985 (implying a yield of 4.015 per cent) from 95.96 (4.04 per cent) just before the RBA released its statement at 1430 AEDT.
The Australian dollar dropped to a one-year low 94.65 cents after the statement.
Mr Johnson said Mr Stevens’ statement suggested the bank would be watching unemployment figures very closely, as a gauge of inflationary pressure on the economy.
"But we’re a few months away from having to make that decision."
Mr Stevens said conditions in global financial markets continued to be "very unsettled, with uncertainty increasing about both the prospects for resolution of the sovereign debt and banking problems in Europe, and the outlook for global economic growth."
However, economic activity in China and Asia was continuing to expand, he said.
CommSec chief economist Craig James said Mr Stevens’ statement showed the RBA had become more open to the possibility of lower rates.
"For the first time since the global financial crisis, the Reserve Bank has opened the possibility of rates being trimmed to support the economy," Mr James said.
He said the focus now shifts to October 26, when the Australian Bureau of Statistics releases consumer price index (CPI) data for the September quarter.
The CPI is a key measure of inflation and is used by the central bank in setting its monetary policy.
HSBC chief economist Paul Bloxham said the RBA’s statement was more dovish than recent ones.
"The RBA is keeping a steady hand on the wheel and is more concerned with the inflation outlook," he said.
Mr Bloxham noted that while the European and US economies were slowing, Asia, and particularly China, were going strong or, at least, easing at a steady rate.
Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under News, Research by Lois Buckett on September 13, 2011 at 5:51 pm
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A FRESH round is likely to begin in the mortgage price war with Commonwealth Bank pledging to beat any advertised rate among its three big rivals.
The pledge has hallmarks of the ”unbeatable” campaign launched by National Australia Bank in New Zealand, a move that spurred on home lending but crunched margins among banks.
The move has been timed with the spring sale season, traditionally the most active period in the Australian housing market.
Intense competition has already emerged among banks across fixed rate loans, with some starting to price fixed rates lower than variable rates.
But CBA’s push extends to both fixed and variable rates and will remain in place until the end of September. The move is expected to draw a swift response from rivals National Australia Bank, ANZ and Westpac.
CBA’s executive general manager of retail products, Michael Cant, said the move was aimed at providing borrowers with competitive home loan deals.
”Our guarantee to beat our major competitors means we’re putting our money where our mouth is,” Mr Cant said.
Sluggish global economic growth, worsening debt market problems, as well as doubts about the Australian outlook have sparked predictions of cuts to official cash rates.
Source: www.domain.com.au
Filed under News, Research by Lois Buckett on September 6, 2011 at 3:09 pm
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The Reserve Bank has decided to keep interest rates on hold, despite fears of the Australian economy struggling outside the mining sector.
With instability in the European markets and concerns over a double-dip recession in the US, the RBA decided to keep official interest rates at 4.75 percent.
RateCity CEO Damian Smith said the decision to keep rates on hold is good news for homeowners and prospective buyers.
"With the number of property sales and mortgages plummeting this year, keeping the cash rate unchanged should give some confidence to both groups," Mr Smith said.
"It’s important that current borrowers use any rate pause wisely – paying down debt by increasing your monthly repayments is a tried and tested formula.
"For those about to enter the property market, having the highest possible deposit saved will help you reduce the impact of any future rate rises."
The Reserve Bank last raised rates by 25 basis points in November 2010.
Source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under News, Real Estate by Lois Buckett on August 2, 2011 at 2:59 pm
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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has spared borrowers an interest rate rise, leaving the cash rate at 4.75 percent in a widely expected move.
The Reserve Bank last increased the overnight cash rate in November 2010 to 4.75 percent from 4.5 percent and most economists still expect a rate rise this year.
“We expect that the Reserve Bank’s decision to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 4.75% today will fuel a new trend emerging where we’re starting to see Australians saving less and borrowing more money for home loans," RateCity chief executive Damian Smith said.
Prior to the announcement the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry warned that an official interest rate rise today would "punch a hole" in business and consumer confidence. The chamber’s latest expectations survey, released on Monday, again highlighted the pressures businesses are facing, it said.
"We are particularly concerned about a pre-emptive rate increase, or an early increase," the chamber’s director of economics and industry policy Greg Evans told reporters in Canberra.
"That that could be very damaging and punch a hole in both business and consumer confidence."
Filed under News, Research by Lois Buckett on May 20, 2011 at 10:08 am
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The head of the Bank of Queensland has warned that Queensland’s economy is at its weakest level in the past five years due to falling tourism and deflated real estate values, and that any additional interest rate hike would only serve to cause more damage, according to a report by The Australian.
David Liddy added that the strength of the mining and manufacturing sectors is overshadowing significant weak points elsewhere in the economy, and joined business leaders in expressing concern over the possibility of an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia in its determination to cap inflation.
The concern expressed by Mr Liddy and business leaders at Monday’s Australian Agenda event came on the heels of the release of minutes from the RBA’s May board meeting, where board members suggested that higher interest rates may be necessary to fight inflation.
Speculation suggested a rate hike could come as early as the RBA’s next board meeting, which occurs in two weeks, according to The Australian.
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