Ongoing discount loans lose momentum

Borrowers’ preference for fixed rate home loans is continuing at an unrelenting pace regardless of recent cash rate cuts, national loan approval data from Mortgage Choice has revealed.

Fixed rate loans accounted for 24% of all new home loan approvals during December 2011, up from 21% in November and well above the 12-month average of 15%. Demand for this loan type has risen for seven consecutive months, increasing 13 percentage points since May 2011.

Company spokesperson Belinda Williamson said, “Consecutive cash rate cuts in November and December 2011 have not swayed Australian borrowers’ desire for fixed rate loans.”

“It is possible borrowers’ need for certainty around their home loan repayments, coupled with the affordability of fixed rate loans are the driving forces behind demand for this loan type.

“During December fixed rates were significantly lower than variable rates, in some cases the difference was one percentage point or more.

“Our loan data shows fixed rates are now more in demand than they have been in over three and a half years at the expense of variable rates, which have lost popularity among new borrowers.

“Customer demand for variable rate loans fell from 79% to 76%, well down on the 12-month average of 85%. The most popular variable rate home loan with new borrowers, ongoing discount rate loans, slipped from 44% to 41%, also well below the 12-month average of 35%.”

Basic variable loan demand rose marginally to 15% of all approvals in December, up from 14% in November while standard variable loan demand fell slightly to 16% from 17%. Interest in line of credit loans dropped to 3% from 4% and the uptake of introductory rate loans was steady at 1%.

For more information visit: www.mortgagechoice.com.au

Home loans by value fell in October and remained flat over the year, suggesting the housing sector remains stagnant.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) said on Monday that total housing finance by value fell 2.5 per cent in October, seasonally adjusted, to $20.458 billion.

The ABS data also showed that the value of home loans was largely unchanged from October 2010, when it was reported at $20.593 billion.

The number of home loans approved in October 2011 rose 0.7 per cent.

National Australia Bank chief economist Robert Henderson said Monday’s data showed the housing market was still deteriorating.

Mr Henderson said it was a fairly dismal report on the housing market, with falling lending in value terms and construction and investment lending both weak.

Recent data, including the national accounts figures released last week, have highlighted the weakness of the housing sector.

"It is clear that over the foreseeable future Australia will fall well short of building the number of new homes required for both owner-occupiers and renters," Housing Industry Association chief economist Harley Dale said.

"Amidst the growing risks to our economy from the situation in Europe, now is the time to be providing stimulus to the new home building sector while at the same time reinvigorating the housing supply reform process, which currently lies dormant."

Commonwealth Bank of Australia senior economist Michael Workman said Monday’s ABS figures were a little softer than he expected.

"If you go back and look at the data over the last 15 years or so, housing credit growth still remains exceptionally weak.

"So, for the housing market, it’s strongly biased towards the buyers rather than sellers and it looks like it’s going to stay that way."

Mr Workman said the Australian dollar and local bond futures were largely unaffected by the data.

RBC Capital Markets fixed income and currency strategist Michael Turner said the October housing figures were a little dated.

"China has already reported trade data for November, and the finance data do not reflect the November and December (monetary) policy easing (in Australia)," he said.

"As such, there are limited implications for markets.

"We expect more timely domestic data to better reflect the softening in global growth in coming months, which should justify further easing (of interest rates) and a move to accommodative territory in 2012."

ICAP senior economist Adam Carr said the housing data showed the Australian lending market was recovering even before the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates.

The cash rate is now at 4.25 per cent after two consecutive 25-basis point cuts in November and December.

"The 50-basis points worth of cuts we’ve seen will likely see lending growth accelerate over coming months, which will start to add to the strong private demand numbers we’ve seen to date," Mr Carr said.

Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au

The Reserve Bank of Australia board has cut the official interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.25 per cent, giving mortgage holders and borrowers a pre-Christmas reprieve.

The RBA announced the rate cut at 2.30pm AEDT today following the board’s final meeting for the year.

It’s the second interest rate cut in as many months after the RBA lowered the cash rate on Melbourne Cup day in November.

In a statement issued with the announcement, RBA Governor Glenn Stevens said there had been "considerable turbulence" in financial markets and said financing conditions had become more difficult.

"This, together with precautionary behaviour by firms and households, means that the likelihood of a further material slowing in global growth has increased," Mr Stevens said in a statement accompanying the decision on Tuesday.

Economics analyst Ross Greenwood said Europe’s debt crisis would have been a significant factor in the RBA’s decision.

"The Reserve Bank indicated that it is still concerned about the European economic situation and the prospects of a global slowdown hurting Australia and its export markets," Greenwood told ninemsn.

While it’s good news for mortgage holders and borrowers, Greenwood cautioned consumers not to expect the banks to pass on the full interest rate.

Analysts were divided about whether the RBA would cut the rate today, with a survey of 14 economists conducted by AAP revealing seven tipping a cut, and seven predicting rates would stay on hold for another month.

Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au

Economists are divided on whether borrowers will get a second interest rate cut in as many months on Tuesday.

Seven of the 14 economists surveyed by AAP say the RBA will cut the cash rate to 4.25 per cent from 4.5 per cent on December 6.

On Melbourne Cup day, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the cash rate from 4.75 per cent, saying that recent information suggested inflation had been contained.

With inflation no longer a problem, the bias for the RBA is now firmly leaning towards rate cuts, with 10 of the 14 economists forecasting rate cuts by the middle of 2012.

Citigroup head of economics Paul Brennan is expecting the RBA to cut rates on Tuesday, despite expectations of strong economic growth in the September quarter.

"We see this as a policy of least regret given that the outlook for global growth has continued to weaken in the past month to well below trend," Mr Brennan said.

"We see scope to lower the cash rate to the bottom of the neutral range over the next few months, which would imply a cash rate of four per cent over the next three months."

The biggest risk to economic growth comes from Europe, which may well go into recession, or start another financial crisis, as several members of the euro struggle to meet debt repayments.

There are also local risks to economic growth.

In the past month the RBA, Treasury and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) have cut economic growth forecasts for 2012.

In addition to that, official figures for October showed a 10.7 per cent fall in building approvals and retail spending only rising 0.2 per cent.

On the other hand Australia’s mining boom is still going strong, with the sector making its biggest ever contribution to economic growth.

Nomura Australia chief economist Stephen Roberts said he doesn’t expect the cash rate to move for the foreseeable future unless something bad happens overseas.

"My forecast is that they are going to leave it at 4.5 per cent," he said.

"I’m assuming they will hold it neutral all the way through to the end of 2012 but my proviso is if Europe generally does go to hell in a handbasket, then they can drop interest rates a long way."

NAB senior economist Spiros Papadopoulos said the RBA won’t cut on Tuesday but by early next year the pressure will build for another rate cut.

"Obviously there’s a risk that they might cut interest rates next week, given everything that’s been happening offshore in the last couple of weeks," he said.

"On balance, given the fact that the domestic economy has been holding up okay we don’t think they need to rush in to cutting rates."

Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au

What do you do if you are young and thinking about investing in property?

A 19-year-old I know has plans to save up to buy his first property, and mentioned that he’s not too sure where to start. Should he do a property course, he wondered? And how do you know where is a good place to buy? Let alone what you should pay.

He’s thinking not of giddily purchasing his first property to live in, but of buying an investment property and slowly, over his lifetime, purchasing some others.

What do you do if you are young and thinking about investing in property?

A 19-year-old I know has plans to save up to buy his first property, and mentioned that he’s not too sure where to start. Should he do a property course, he wondered? And how do you know where is a good place to buy? Let alone what you should pay.

He’s thinking not of giddily purchasing his first property to live in, but of buying an investment property and slowly, over his lifetime, purchasing some others.

We’ve been hearing for a little while now how this is a trend among 20-somethings, and those into their 30s. Buy a place as an investment, often a cheaper unit in a less desirable area, and then tap into the tax advantages of negative gearing (by keeping your outgoings on the property higher than the rent coming in) and either rent yourself in an area you want to live, or stay at home with the baby boomer parents where the board is minimal and the washing comes for free.

So for Jake, and any other young people wondering which way to go, here’s a few tips. And I’m sure readers will offer up plenty more in the comments space below.

1. Ask yourself, should I be investing in property at all, and what do I expect to get from it?

If it’s a road to quick riches you want, then this is not the path to take. Yes, we have seen some huge run-ups in prices over the years, and it’s true that property prices, like the economy, tend to run in cycles, so we will obviously see increases in years to come, even despite the current negativity enveloping much of the globe.

Because property buyers are human, and love to follow a trend, and for some bizarre reason feel more comfortable buying when prices are running hot, there is no doubt there will be price rises once again in the future.

There are a whole bunch of other factors pointing to future price increases too – in some cities the lack of building will keep the supply lower than it should be, the population continues to grow meaning so does demand, and in Australia at least, we remain a wealthy country still experiencing household income growth.

However, don’t bet everything on this happening and by how much prices will go up – instead expect to see, over a longer period of time, steady increases with plenty of troughs along the way as the economic cycle rises and falls.

And now, here’s the cue for all the readers who argue the market is about to tank and that now is not the time to buy property. And with Europe perched on a precipice and the US still in an uncertain state, you do have to question whether the bottom of the market has been reached yet despite the pretty strong fundamentals underpinning the Australian economy at the moment.

However, if you are a young person just starting to save for your first property, you have a bit of time to sit back and watch the market while you save anyway, so don’t fret too much at this juncture.

2. Educate yourself

The mere mention of "property course" sends shivers down my spine. Often it’s run by property spruikers taking hundreds or thousands of dollars off gullible people who are then, at best, fed information they could find themselves by reading widely, or at worst, the poor souls are flogged the company’s own products or services, all with the shiny promise of sky-high returns.

There has never been an easier time to learn the whys and wherefores yourself. The internet has opened up a world of information, and young people wanting to learn a bit more about property should be heading there (to reputable sources) as well as to the property lift outs in newspapers, and better quality magazines.

Want prices? Find them on websites like Domain.com.au or Australian Property Monitors (both owned by Fairfax Media). Want to find the best loan? Check out a loan websites such as ratecity.com.au. And need to know where the market is headed? Read plenty of stories and opinion pieces and rather than taking just one as gospel, glean the general themes from what all have to say.

If there’s a few property terms you don’t understand – such as negative gearing – look them up and get your head around what they mean. That won’t unlock a magical key to property investment for you and land a bag of gold at your feet, but it will stop spruikers taking advantage of your youth and naivety.

3. Take a balanced approach

Property holds a certain glimmer for some young people – perhaps under the encouragement of their parents who prefer a bricks-and-mortar approach. And also because everyone has lived in a house or a unit, but not everyone has held shares or gold or even superannuation.

But if you are young and have the advantage of having your head screwed on the right way and are already thinking about investing, you should be looking at all investment classes impartially. Sure, consider property, but look at it as part of building a balanced portfolio.

Even at 18, 19, you’re not too young to start putting a few extra dollars into super, keeping some of your money in cash in the highest-paying account you can find, and also thinking about a small parcel of blue chip shares to start you off, all while saving to buy your first property. Education, it must be said, can also be considered an investment class in the fact that you are boosting your own potential earning capacity.

And when I say dollars, I really do mean just a few dollars. Even small amounts each week from a meagre income are better than nothing.

This is a smart approach because it lets you spread your risk, and not put everything into the one basket. Sure, this mean it will take you a little longer to save for the first property, but time is on your side if you are young, and to use a cliché, Rome wasn’t built in a day.

4. Save as much as you can before buying

If you plan on being a landlord, you will need to have some extra cash available to cover the loan in between tenants, and also to pay for any repairs to the property. If you are buying into an apartment block or townhouse, you may need also extra money to pay for special levies such as building repairs not covered by the sinking fund (the general fund amassed by the body corporate from strata levies).

So the smart thing to do is to save a good amount of money before purchasing so you’re not taking an uncomfortable risk.

5. Research where to buy

The old adage is buy as close to the city as you can and look for properties that don’t have huge outgoings due to lifts and fancy add-ons such as gyms and pools, but do have the advantage of being near good infrastructure.

Closeness to the city can be good but I would also focus on the infrastructure side of things, and whether or not the suburb has the potential to develop over time.

Buying near rail (heavy or light) infrastructure is always a good bet as the infrastructure will stay there for a long time, and as populations continue to grow and further congest areas, the infrastructure will become even more important.

Do carefully think before buying in areas with inherent negatives, such as heavy flight paths or a lot of noise. Also very busy roads can be a problem – it can be smarter to buy just off them.

Keep your tenant in mind – what type of person would like to rent this and do those people generally live in this area?

Do try to buy something that would be easy to sell again in a hurry if you needed to, should your circumstances change. If a property you are buying has sat on the market for months and months, be sure to find out why and be realistic about encountering the same selling problems if you should buy it.

For that same reason it is good to try to buy something that is around the median price for a suburb, as it should have a larger pool of potential buyers.

6. Keep some cash aside after buying

When you buy the property, don’t sink all your money into the loan if you can help it, keep a good chunk in a flexible high-interest earning account (not a term deposit, as you may need to access it at short notice).

Use this as your maintenance fund, and to top up the property loan if you need to (and for many properties, in the early years at least, the rent won’t cover the mortgage, council rates, strata and water supply charges, so you need to be in a position to pay for the gap yourself).

The cash you keep, though, must strictly be for investment and as a reserve for maintenance and loan top-ups, not for holidays or random spending, as you always need a buffer so you aren’t forced to sell at the worst possible time.

7. After you buy, keep saving

Direct any spare cash to your savings account, not your investment loan. Or if you decide to buy a property to live in, use the cash to pay down your own home loan as fast as you can, rather than the investment loan.

By doing this, you make negative gearing work for you because, by keeping the loan against the property larger, you are paying the highest amount of interest you can, while earning interest off your other money you are keeping in cash.

Or in the case of living in your own property you do want to pay that off as soon as possible to get rid of non-tax-deductible debt.

While I’m advocating not dumping all of your extra cash into your investment loan, it is prudent to pay the property off over time to gradually reduce your liabilities, rather than remain solely focussed on negative gearing.

For that reason, interest-only loans on investment properties may not be wise in the longer term, as you are basically betting on price increases to cover you. Yes, price hikes will probably happen over the longer period but you don’t want to bank your entire savings on them.

8. Get your hands dirty

If you buy a property that needs to be fixed up, and you have time on your side, get in and do it. Many things such as pulling up carpets and painting can be achieved with little experience – you just need to have a go.

You might be surprised at just how much painting kitchen cupboards, tired tiles and old baths can rejuvenate a property.

Do be aware of any dangers that lurk in the property though, such as asbestos, and treat them appropriately. And do call in trades for jobs that are beyond you, such as electrics, plumbing and larger tiling jobs.

9. Be a good landlord

Be prepared to spend on maintenance over time and keep your property up to scratch. You’ll attract better tenants, and your property will also hold its value better. Rundown rentals look shabby and often don’t command a good price come sales time.

10. Take your time before buying again

If you have your sights set on owning more than one property, don’t be in too much of a rush. Keep your investing balanced, putting some funds into other classes such as cash, shares and super.

And when you have built enough equity you can then consider buying a second property. Balance your risk though and don’t get yourself in over your head. You want the power to hold each property for as long as you see fit, rather than be forced to sell should disaster strike.

Story by Carolyn Boyd, a property journalist and keen follower of Australia’s housing market.

Source: www.domain.com.au

House hunters who are pre-approved plan for a happier New Year

Future first homebuyers considering making their property move in the New Year have strong awareness of the importance of seeking loan pre-approval before house hunting, based on insights from national mortgage broker, Mortgage Choice.

A Mortgage Choice survey of first homebuyers looking to purchase before February 2013 found two-thirds of respondents intend to apply for loan pre-approval*.

According to Acting Head of Corporate Affairs, Belinda Williamson, first homebuyers are seeking assurance about their borrowing capacity before starting their property search.

“Our survey showed primed first homebuyers are making the wise choice to get their property finance pre-approved by a lender. This step helps buyers hone their property search and shop with confidence when negotiating a purchase or bidding at auction,” Ms Williamson said.

“Loan pre-approval provides a conditional approval of a loan amount and is usually based on an assessment of potential borrowers’ individual circumstances, needs and ability to repay the loan.

“Keep in mind it’s usually a limited time offer, for a period of three to six months and can be sourced through a mortgage broker. Once pre-approved, it’s important to keep your broker up to speed with any changes in your financial situation as this may void the agreement.

“It pays to shop around. Not all lenders offer loan pre-approval and some don’t conduct individual assessments, meaning you may get a different loan limit upon applying for unconditional approval and, like those without pre-approval, you could miss out on a property if it’s above your loan limit.

“If you are looking to purchase in the New Year now is a good time get pre-approved so you don’t miss out on potential property purchases over the holiday period.”

Mortgage Choice has compiled three top tips to help potential borrowers prepare for home loan pre-approval:

Organise your deposit and evidence of savings – You generally need a deposit of at least 5% of the purchase price, plus upfront costs. However, you will need to show evidence of a genuine savings plan, such as bank statements that illustrate a savings strategy for at least three and up to six consecutive months. Note some lenders now consider rent payments as savings evidence.

Check your credit history – Grey areas in your credit history, such as bill defaults and/or prior loan/credit applications can affect your loan pre-approval application. Resolve any issues with the relevant debt provider before you apply. For a copy of your credit file from mycreditfile.com.au you must provide personal details including your address, employment and driver’s licence number.

Prepare your paperwork – Gather evidence of your employment, income, assets, liabilities and expenses. You will also need to provide your driver’s licence or other ID, recent pay slips, tax returns and bank statements. Having everything at arm’s reach will streamline this process.

Story source: www.mortgagechoice.com.au

Top tips to saving more this Christmas

As households prepare their budgets for festive season shopping splurges, now is an ideal time to unwrap the financial strategies that help borrowers gain greater control over their home loan situation, according to Australia’s largest independently-owned mortgage broker, Mortgage Choice.

Company spokesperson Kristy Sheppard said, “Ensure Christmas costs don’t hamper your ability to meet home loan and/or other debt commitments, by proactively managing your money. It’s not hard.”

“Staying on top of financial obligations, in conjunction with careful pre and post silly season budgeting and planning, will without a doubt put you in a better position to achieve your property goals sooner. It should also give you more confidence to properly enjoy the festive season.”

Here are five tips to help improve your mortgage management in the countdown to Christmas:

‘Tis the season to bring budgeting back on track. Get your Christmas and new year budget underway if you haven’t already. Be sure to include seasonal spending estimates for gifts, treats, catch ups, celebrations and other holiday outings.

‘Tis the season for a home loan health check. Are you making the most of your loan? There may be features attached to it you are not utilising or are paying a premium for. A regular home loan health check is a great way to see if you are making the most of your existing loan or if you are better suited to a different lender and/or product. Before switching, carefully weigh up the pros and cons by comparing loan features, rate, repayment type and frequency, accessibility, fees and more.

‘Tis the season to keep repayments steady, despite recent rate cuts. If your loan’s interest rate has recently dropped, get ahead by continuing to repay at the original, higher rate. For example, take a loan of $300,000 at 7% over 30 years. If your rate reduces by 0.25% to 6.75% and you keep repaying your loan as if the interest rate was still 7%, you could shave over two and a half years off your loan term and save more than $54,000 in interest owed.

‘Tis the season to go one step further and round up repayments. If the monthly repayments on the above mentioned loan maintained at the higher rate are rounded up from $1,996 to $2,100 from day one, it is possible to cut a further three years and seven months off the loan term and save an additional $55,000 in interest owed (if all loan aspects remained the same). The total savings would equal $109,000 in interest and a reduction in the loan term to 24 years and 8 months.

‘Tis the season to turn up the frequency of repayments. Depending on your loan and lender, dividing your monthly minimum repayment in two and making fortnightly repayments instead may also save you interest owed and reduce the loan term. There are 12 months and 26 fortnights in one calendar year; by paying fortnightly, you make the equivalent of 13 monthly repayments. The savings on the above mentioned loan equal almost $100,000 in interest and almost six years off the loan term.

For home loan tips, trends, facts, data and other information, visit MortgageChoice.com.au,

With the Reserve Bank serving up a rate cut, it’s a smart move to keep your repayments at the same level. Many lenders don’t automatically reduce your repayments when rates fall.

That doesn’t mean, of course, that you’re not getting a cut in interest rates – just that your weekly or fortnightly (or monthly, but don’t pay monthly, it will cost you more in the long run, as explained below) repayments stay the same.

That’s smart because automatically you’re paying an extra $45-$60 (or whatever it equates to on your mortgage) a month, which will see you get out of the debt-jail sooner.

And with house prices stagnant or falling, the one smart way to make money out of your property is pay it off more quickly and reduce the overall cost of acquiring it.

It has, of course, always been the best way to do things. Ask any pre-baby boomer and they will tell you that.

But in the heady debt-fuelled days of recent past it seemed too easy that you could buy a place, sit it out, burn up the redraw facility on the loan on cars, clothes and overseas holidays, and still double your money in a decade. However, after such big run-ups in house prices, everything has softened and we’re not likely to see similar increases in home prices anytime soon.

Not that a slowing housing market is necessarily bad – despite the general pall it throws over things. Investors may want those days to return but most people can see that steady prices are a lot healthier.

Houses, after all, are primarily for living in. There are other money-making vehicles out there that don’t put the cost of basic shelter out of the average person’s reach.

And the slowing housing market also – in part – took the pressure off the Reserve Bank to keep hiking rates after last year’s Melbourne Cup.

When it comes to the cost of acquiring a home, you can do it the expensive way – borrowing the money (as most of us have to do), or the really, really expensive way (borrowing money and taking forever to pay it off).

The Figures

Let’s assume you’re paying 7 per cent on your mortgage now and you’ve borrowed $500,000 to buy your place. Pay it off monthly over 25 years and you’ll fork out a total of about $1,060,147.

Add another $60 a month to your repayments and you’ll be up for a total over the life of the loan of $1,031,230, saving $28,918.

Pay down an extra $200 a month, or about $50 a week, and suddenly you’re up for a six-figure total instead of a seven, of about $975,321. You’ll also save an impressive $84,842. And you’ll walk away from the shackles of that mortgage more than three years earlier.

Of course your mortgage might not be $500,000, so to find out how it works in your situation check out some of the online calculators such as this. It’s worth bookmarking the site and going back to it every time you need a bit of motivation to pay down the mortgage faster.

And another trick – now well known by many – is to pay fortnightly and not monthly. You’ll end up thousands of dollars ahead by taking advantage of the fact there’s 12 months in the year, but 26 fortnights, meaning you make one fortnight’s repayment more per year than you would if you were paying monthly.

Story by Carolyn Boyd www.domain.com.au

Australia’s biggest home lenders cut mortgage rates soon after the central bank reduced the cash rate for the first time since April 2009.

Westpac took just 15 minutes to pass on the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 0.25 percentage point rate cut in full on Tuesday. It will lower its standard variable home loan rate (SVR) to 7.61 per cent from November 14.

Westpac is the nation’s second biggest mortgage lender by market share,

Bank of Queensland (BOQ), and Commonwealth Bank (CBA), Australia’s biggest home lender, followed suit, cutting their SVR to 7.61 per cent and 7.56 per cent respectively.

BOQ’s rate cut will take effect on November 11, and CBA’s on November 4.

ANZ Banking Group and National Australia Bank (NAB) said their interest rates were under review.

The cuts by the bigger Sydney-headquartered lenders come almost two years after Westpac ignited public outrage by lifting its SVR by 45 basis points after the RBA’s rate hike of 25 basis points.

Last November CBA did the same, with its rivals passing on rate rises of between 35 and 43 basis points, helping to prompt a Senate inquiry into competition within the banking sector.

NAB has consistently tried to undercut its rivals to win market share, and last Thursday posted a record annual cash profit of $5.5 billion on strong growth in home lending and deposits.

Westpac retail and business banking group executive Rob Coombe said economic weakness in Europe was having a negative effect on Australian business and consumer confidence.

"A reduction in interest rates will provide a timely boost to sentiment and generate a positive flow-on effect for the broader Australian economy," he said in a statement.

The rate cut will reduce repayments on an average $250,000 mortgage by about $41 per month, he said.

BOQ managing director Stuart Grimshaw announced the rate cut on his first day with the bank as its new boss, saying that with Christmas approaching it was the right thing to do.

CBA has 27.8 per cent of Australia’s home loan market.

Westpac has a 26.4 per cent share, while NAB has 15.6 per cent, ANZ 14.3 per cent, Suncorp 2.8 per cent, Bendigo and Adelaide Bank 2.6 per cent and BOQ 2.2 per cent according to figures from the banking regulator.

Westpac will report its annual result on Wednesday followed by ANZ’s profit result on Thursday.

Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au

Homeowners have been granted a long awaited reprieve, with the Reserve Bank opting to drop interest rates by 25 basis points.

The cut continues what is becoming a tradition, with the Reserve Bank changing the cash rate on Melbourne Cup Day for the sixth year in a row.

It is also the first time in a year that rates have shifted in either direction, with last year’s race tarnished by a surprise 25 basis point bump.

The Reserve Bank’s decision comes after the TD Securities-Melbourne Institute data revealed inflationary pressure was at a 19-month low.

The Institute’s inflation gauge showed a 0.1 percent rise in headline and trimmed mean measures, prompted largely by a massive drop in fruit and vegetable prices.

The rise keeps inflation at a 19-month low of 2.6 percent, well within the Reserve Bank’s target band.

The Reserve Bank last cut interest rates in April 2009. Following a steady climb in 2010, interest rates have stayed on hold since last November.

The last time the Reserve Bank stayed put on Melbourne Cup day was in 2005, midway through the cash rate’s year-long stint at 5.5 percent.

Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au

Fixed term mortgages hit 3.5 year high in October

Basic variable rates were the most popular with new home loan borrowers only 11 months ago, but today they have been far surpassed by ongoing discount rates and fixed rates, according to loan approval data from Mortgage Choice, Australia’s largest independently-owned mortgage broker.

At that time, the no-frills product type accounted for 34% of the broker’s new approvals. Today, this sits at less than 16%, the second lowest point since Mortgage Choice began recording such data in January 2003.

Fixed rates are now more in demand than they have been in well over three years, and although the popularity of ongoing discount rates dropped for the first time in October they remain by far the most popular home loan with new borrowers, accounting for more than 43% of approvals.

Company spokesperson Kristy Sheppard said, “When comparing our October loan approval data to that extracted one year ago, it’s remarkably obvious how much the industry has changed in reacting to subdued housing finance demand and a relatively positive interest rate outlook.”

“Then, basic variable rate was the loan of choice at just over 34% of approvals. Standard variable rate followed with just under 34%, then ongoing discount rate at 17% and fixed rate at 11%.

“That situation has now flipped. New borrowers’ appetite for fixed rate loans is at a three and a half year high of 20% of approvals and ongoing discount rate loans account for 43% of approvals.

“In an environment of rising living costs and economic uncertainty it is unsurprising borrowers are taking advantage of the relatively low fixed rates and attractive variable rate discounts offered by lenders hungry for business.”

The popularity of standard variable, line of credit and introductory rate home loans all fell in October, to 15%, 4% and 1% of approvals respectively. Basic variable demand rose slightly to 16%.

Note: Mortgage Choice currently writes one in 25 new home loans in Australia, equating to approx. $10 billion in approvals per year, hence it provides a clear insight into borrower preferences. The 19 year old mortgage broker has a loan book of over $42 billion.

One in 10 Australian households is in housing stress and at risk of financial hardship and poverty, a new report says.

Renters and first home buyers are most under pressure, with 26 per cent of renters and 15 per cent of first home buyers in housing stress, the Australians for Affordable Housing (AAH) said on Monday.

"There is an entrenched and significant group of people in Australia who face day to day hardship because of their housing costs," AAH spokeswoman Sarah Toohey said in a statement.

Overall, 850,000 households across the country are at risk of financial hardship after paying for housing costs, of which nearly 300,000 are in NSW.

The report, commissioned from the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling (NATSEM), found 21 per cent of first home buyers in Melbourne are more likely to experience housing stress, compared to 15 per cent in Sydney.

Hobart and Sydney put the tightest squeeze on renters. Hobart has the highest rate of renters in housing stress at 33 per cent, while Sydney has the highest number with more than 100,000 households facing poverty because of the high cost of renting.

"A secure home is a fundamental building block for everything else we do in life," Ms Toohey said.

"We need to create a housing system that works for everyone."

Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au

The housing sector is stabilising as talk of an interest rate rise wanes and Australians are encouraged to borrow more, economists say.

The number of home loans approved in August rose 1.2 per cent to 50,965, official figures show. Economists’ forecasts had centred on a 1 per cent rise in housing finance commitments for the month.

August was the fifth straight month that housing finance commitments had risen.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics said total housing finance by value rose 1.0 per cent in August, seasonally adjusted, to $20.848 billion.

JPMorgan economist Ben Jarman said the figures showed the housing sector was stabilising rather than rebounding.

‘‘It certainly means it’s not falling into a hole,’’ Mr Jarman said. ‘‘In the last few months worth of data, the housing finance figures have benefited from the perception that the RBA won’t be doing much in the near term.

‘‘So, if you went back to the start of this year, the RBA didn’t hike rates but there was all the forecast and all the language were making noises that you would get a couple of hikes this year.

‘‘Those aren’t being delivered and things offshore have turned a little bit sour.

‘‘What you’ve seen in the last few months in the home loans data is these fading expectations are helping out and people are coming back and they are happy to take on new debt.

‘‘We’re kind of calling this a mini-rally, but don’t think that this is the start of a tear away in the housing market.

‘‘There’s still a lot of uncertainty globally and that’s what’s keeping the RBA on the sidelines.’’

Mr Jarman said JPMorgan still expected the RBA not to change the cash rate from its current 4.75 per cent until at least the middle of 2012.

‘‘You’ve got a lot uncertainty offshore counterbalancing the domestic inflationary situation here and we see the RBA not doing very much for a while.’’

ICAP senior economist Adam Carr said August’s housing finance figure was a good result and continued a 13 per cent increase in lending since April.

‘‘The pattern we’ve witnessed over the last year is that home lending is posting a dramatic improvement after a GFC induced slump, interrupted only by the floods and the disasters,’’ Mr Carr said. ‘‘Now we’re back on track.’’He expected housing finance data to continue to be strong in the coming months.

‘‘Financial conditions are not too tight, we’ve had an easing in financial conditions (and) lending rates are going sharply lower.

‘‘Don’t forget the unemployment rate is low and income growth is strong, so the prospects are really good.’’

The data also highlighted why a cut in the cash rate was not needed, he said.

‘‘The reason I say that is because the economy is healthy – we don’t need one or two rate cuts.

‘‘We’re either going to get 100 basis points worth of cuts or more because Europe collapses and we have another GFC or, I would imagine, we get none.

‘‘That’s because retailing is accelerating, home lending is accelerating, approvals are accelerating and the unemployment rate is low.

‘‘To argue that we need one or two rate cuts is just absurd.’’

AAP

Source: www.domain.com.au

The central bank has decided to keep the cash rate unchanged this month and has opened the door for possible future cuts.

The decision was expected, with all 15 economists surveyed last week by AAP predicting the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would keep rates on hold at 4.75 per cent on Tuesday.

The central bank’s board last raised the rate from 4.5 per cent in November 2010.

But the focus was on the statement accompanying the decision, in which RBA Governor Glenn Stevens indicated he was less concerned that inflation would accelerate.

"The path for inflation may now be more consistent with the two to three per cent target in 2012 and 2013," he said.

That meant rate cuts were now on the table.

"An improved inflation outlook would increase the scope for monetary policy to provide some support to demand, should that prove necessary," Mr Stevens said.

UBS interest rate strategist Matthew Johnson said the RBA appeared to have downgraded its growth and inflation forecasts.

"I think that the bank has gone from thinking that things were too strong a couple of months ago, to being around trend now," Mr Johnson said.

"If there’s a further deteriorating, they’ll ease policy."

He said the statement prompted investors to buy bonds, on expectations that the central bank may soon cut the cash rate.

The December 10-year bond futures contract rose to 95.985 (implying a yield of 4.015 per cent) from 95.96 (4.04 per cent) just before the RBA released its statement at 1430 AEDT.

The Australian dollar dropped to a one-year low 94.65 cents after the statement.

Mr Johnson said Mr Stevens’ statement suggested the bank would be watching unemployment figures very closely, as a gauge of inflationary pressure on the economy.

"But we’re a few months away from having to make that decision."

Mr Stevens said conditions in global financial markets continued to be "very unsettled, with uncertainty increasing about both the prospects for resolution of the sovereign debt and banking problems in Europe, and the outlook for global economic growth."

However, economic activity in China and Asia was continuing to expand, he said.

CommSec chief economist Craig James said Mr Stevens’ statement showed the RBA had become more open to the possibility of lower rates.

"For the first time since the global financial crisis, the Reserve Bank has opened the possibility of rates being trimmed to support the economy," Mr James said.

He said the focus now shifts to October 26, when the Australian Bureau of Statistics releases consumer price index (CPI) data for the September quarter.

The CPI is a key measure of inflation and is used by the central bank in setting its monetary policy.

HSBC chief economist Paul Bloxham said the RBA’s statement was more dovish than recent ones.

"The RBA is keeping a steady hand on the wheel and is more concerned with the inflation outlook," he said.

Mr Bloxham noted that while the European and US economies were slowing, Asia, and particularly China, were going strong or, at least, easing at a steady rate.

Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au

A FRESH round is likely to begin in the mortgage price war with Commonwealth Bank pledging to beat any advertised rate among its three big rivals.

The pledge has hallmarks of the ”unbeatable” campaign launched by National Australia Bank in New Zealand, a move that spurred on home lending but crunched margins among banks.

The move has been timed with the spring sale season, traditionally the most active period in the Australian housing market.

Intense competition has already emerged among banks across fixed rate loans, with some starting to price fixed rates lower than variable rates.

But CBA’s push extends to both fixed and variable rates and will remain in place until the end of September. The move is expected to draw a swift response from rivals National Australia Bank, ANZ and Westpac.

CBA’s executive general manager of retail products, Michael Cant, said the move was aimed at providing borrowers with competitive home loan deals.

”Our guarantee to beat our major competitors means we’re putting our money where our mouth is,” Mr Cant said.

Sluggish global economic growth, worsening debt market problems, as well as doubts about the Australian outlook have sparked predictions of cuts to official cash rates.

Source: www.domain.com.au