Filed under Finance, Lennox Head by Lois Buckett on May 1, 2012 at 2:49 pm
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The Reserve Bank of Australia has cut interest rates by 50 basis points in an unexpected move that should provide welcome relief to many homeowners.
The reduction takes the official cash rate to 3.75 percent.
Damian Smith CEO of financial comparison site RateCity called the RBA’s decision "a very big move".
"They haven’t moved rates this far since the depths of the Global Financial Crisis," Mr Smith told ninemsn.
"This cut will help thousands of households, with people on a $300,000 mortgage potentially saving around $1000 per year."
But he warns that some banks may be unwilling to pass on the rate cut in full.
"It’s unlikely that all lenders will pass on the full rate cut," Mr Smith said.
"The signals from the big four banks suggest that they will try to hold on to part of this rate cut."
Mr Smith points out that while the central bank has lowered the cash rate by 50 basis points since November, "the big four banks have only passed on around 40 basis points to variable rate home loan customers".
It is the largest cut to the cash rate since a 100 basis point reduction in February 2009, and the first time the RBA has lowered the cash rate since it cut it by 25 basis points at its December board meeting.
Business lobby groups, trade unionists and some economists had called for the board of the RBA to cut rates by 50 basis points to help ailing retailers, manufacturers and the stubborn housing market.
Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Finance, News by Lois Buckett on March 27, 2012 at 1:54 pm
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The Australian Government has chosen to simultaneously introduce three significant tax changes that directly affect the Australian Construction Industry. See what those big tax changes are and how they will affect you.
According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics the construction industry is the fourth largest contributor to Australia’s GDP accounting for around 7% of Australia’s total economy and over 9% of Australia’s employment. Construction has been a backbone of the Australian economy and the Australian way of life. Notwithstanding, the Australian government has chosen to simultaneously introduce three very significant tax changes that directly affect the Australian construction industry.
As of July 1, 2012, the construction industry will be hit with the implications of:
- Carbon Tax
- Mining Tax
- Compulsory reporting of subcontracting arrangements
This is a time when the government has already withdrawn support from those in the building and construction industry through:
Eliminating the free home insulation scheme.
Not continuing or increasing the School Building and Renovations program.
Being extremely inconsistent on when and if they are going to subsidise solar.
Taking longer than expected to roll out the National Broadband Network (a major infrastructure project consuming huge construction industry resources)
It has also come at a time when the Federal and State Governments are applying increasing requirements for builders to build green home and green renovations such as Victoria’s recent upgrade to a minimum 6 star rating for new homes at the same time that consumers are trying to build bigger homes with smaller budgets.
The Carbon Tax and the Construction Industry
Service Central has already published a review of how the Carbon Tax will affect the Construction Industry here, however let’s go over the key points once again.
Manufacturing the materials used in construction of new homes and renovations is extremely carbon intensive. As a result the carbon tax will add thousands of dollars of new costs to a new home. The HIA estimates that with the introduction of carbon tax the price of a new home will increase by between 0.8% and 1.7%.The Allen Consulting Group have released a carbon price mechanism report that estimates that the carbon tax will add around $3,821 to its model two storey detached brick veneer 200m2 house.
The Allen Consulting Group report found that in building a two storey home in NSW you would see increases in a broad variety of building costs, including:
- Direct Energy: 6.8%
- Aluminium: 4.1%
- Bricks: 4%
- Concrete: 3.2%
- Steel: 3%
- Carpet: 2.6%
- Paint: 1.5%
- Timber: 1.5%
- Glass: 1.1%
- Plasterboard: 1%
The Mining Tax and the Construction Industry
Whilst the Mining Tax is not directly related to the Construction Industry, the Government’s Mining Tax will increase the costs to an industry that supplies materials to Australia’s Construction Industry.
The mining tax that is set to commence from July 1 2012, imposes on select sectors of the Australia’s Mining Industry a 30% tax on extraordinary profits, specifically in the coal and iron ore sectors.
Similar to the Carbon Tax, this Mining Tax could have a flow-on effect to the Construction Industry that causes price increases in building materials and construction costs. An increased cost of production in the coal industry could lead to even further increases in the cost of Direct Energy as a significant proportion of Australia’s electricity is produced using coal. Building products that use a lot of energy in their production such as aluminium, steel and glass could be hit hard.
Targeting the iron ore sector also could have a direct flow-on to the cost of steel, a major component in the manufacture of Australian homes.
Tax Office targets Construction Industry in Sub-Contractor Crackdown
The third prong in the Government’s three-prong attack on Australia’s Construction industry is a significant crack-down on payments to subcontractors by builders with the introduction of mandatory reporting to the ATO of all payments made to subcontractors.
The new tax regime starts on July 1, 2012, and requires builders to report to the tax office all of the following:
The details of sub-contractors used by the builder.
The ABN of each subcontractor.
The exact amounts paid to each subcontractor.
It is proposed that the ATO will be using this information to data-match against the tax returns of each subcontractor. It is possible that discrepancies in the amounts reported by the builder and the subcontractors could lead to further scrutiny of their accounts by the Australian Tax Office.
The ATO has also indicated that it may share this information with various State and Territory authorities that could, for example match with payroll tax and workers compensation payment records. Should this information also find its way into the hands of construction industry run superannuation and insurance schemes, significant additional costs could be imposed on small businesses.
Accountants have said that this extra reporting requirement will cost builders on average of $300-$500 per year extra in compliance costs. There are also risks that builders will be hit with extra costs as a result of increased audits from the ATO of their businesses and the businesses of their subcontractors. Furthermore, subcontractors may seek to increase their rates to builders as a result of the extra risk of the builders reporting their payments directly to the tax office.
The guidance from the ATO as to what needs to be reported and what doesn’t has been confusing to say the least. For example, the ATO has said that domestic building projects will be exempt from the program, however if the domestic building projects involve the use of subcontractors then they will need to be reported. Given that nearly every building project (of any size) involves the collaboration between various contractors (plumbers, electricians, painters, tilers, etc) it would seem that this “exclusion” actually might still capture the vast majority of projects.
This change comes into operation on July 1, 2012, so we would highly recommend that everyone in the building industry (builders as well as subcontractors) speak to their accountant about how this is going to affect them. If you’re accountant is not experienced in these matters then it is important that you post a job request for an accountant and get some quality advice for your business.
Resources:
Carbon Tax
http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/Lookup/1350.0Feature+Article1Oct+2010
http://hia.com.au/media/Industry-policy/~/media/Files/documents/Carbon%20Tax%20documents/carbon_tax_price_adjustment.ashx
http://www.allenconsult.com.au/resources/acgcarbonprice2011.pdf
Subcontracting
http://www.smartcompany.com.au/construction-and-engineering/048605-the-building-industry-gets-ready-for-changes-to-tax-reporting.html
According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics the construction industry is the fourth largest contributor to Australia’s GDP accounting for around 7% of Australia’s total economy and over 9% of Australia’s employment. Construction has been a backbone of the Australian economy and the Australian way of life. Notwithstanding, the Australian government has chosen to simultaneously introduce three very significant tax changes that directly affect the Australian construction industry.
Story source: http://www.servicecentral.com.au
Filed under Finance, Lennox Head by Lois Buckett on March 26, 2012 at 10:03 am
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Knowing your limits and the market will help to expand your property portfolio.
Why do some people struggle to buy one investment property and yet others manage to own five or six? The answer isn’t simply that they have more money.
Investors who are creative in their approach to financing and who thoroughly research the important real estate indicators routinely achieve their goals faster and with less hassle.
There are several well-known ways to increase a property portfolio. You can take out an interest-only loan, buy with partners as ”tenants in common” or tap into your home equity.

Owning an investment property is not out of reach, it simply requires an astute approach. Photo: AFR
All of which help free up cash flow, enabling you to make more substantial contributions to a principal place of residence or to access cash flow for other investments. Coupled with buying investment properties in the right place at the right time, these tactics have reaped financial rewards for many people.
But savvy investors take their strategies to the next level. Let’s look at some of the less-traditional approaches to more profitable property investing.
Varying your income tax
If you’re negatively geared, a good way to improve immediate cash flow is to ask your accountant to submit an income tax variation form to your payroll office.
This reduces the tax rate charged on your wages by estimating your total end-of-financial-year tax position in advance. Rather than receiving a lump sum tax refund, you receive money evenly throughout the year.
Line of credit with a global limit
This is a line of credit home loan with a ”global” or ”umbrella” limit and several sub-accounts. It gives you maximum access to your equity to optimise your investment opportunities. The loan can be operated with multiple accounts under one global limit.
Mortgage Choice spokeswoman Belinda Williamson says line of credit accounts can be attached to a credit card. ”If you earn a decent income, using a credit card for expenses should mean that most of your income stays in the loan until the credit card payment is due, which helps to reduce the loan balance.”
Targeting distressed vendors
Successful investors don’t appraise the properties on the market in an area, they try to work out why they are for sale. Paul Osborne, of the buyer’s advocate firm Secret Agent, says it’s a smart move to understand household indebtedness in specific areas to snare a bargain.
He says many households are managing to service only the interest repayments, not the principal amount, of their home loans. As a consequence, the best buying opportunities tend to be in suburbs that have high proportions of household debt.
A secondary dwelling as an investment
Building second dwellings, such as granny flats, on the land held by either an owner-occupied or an investment property has become a growing trend. These dwellings can generate extra rental income and increase the property’s future value.
They also provide depreciation benefits and must be council-approved. Lending criteria for secondary dwellings varies from lender to lender and it’s smart to monitor how such additions in an area have shifted property values.
Choose a loan tailored to your needs
Depending on your finances, lifestyle and investment portfolio, there are a range of property loans to consider. Ms Williamson recommends checking the health of your home loan at least once a year.
”You should make sure that your loans not only meet your current needs but also take your future needs into consideration,” she says. ”Make sure that you are managing your loan, rather than letting it manage you.” Always be aware that new products are entering the competitive housing finance market constantly.
Story source: www.domain.com.au Story by Chris Tolhurst
Filed under Finance, News by Lois Buckett on March 6, 2012 at 2:53 pm
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The board of the Reserve Bank of Australia has left the official cash rate at 4.25 percent for the second month in a row.
The move was widely expected with inflation at the bottom of the RBA’s target band of 2-3 percent and global economic conditions improving.
However, the news may not be met with the rapturous receptions of the past with many lenders now lifting their rates independently of the RBA.
"The rates that borrowers pay have been creeping away from the Reserve Bank’s cash rate movements since the global financial crisis," RateCity CEO Damian Smith said.
"Last month proves that all variable rate mortgage holders are vulnerable to rate hikes, regardless of what the RBA does."
The central bank left rates on hold last month but that didn’t stop the big four, ANZ, Commonwealth Bank, NAB and Westpac from lifting their standard variable mortgage rates between 0.06 and 0.10 percent.
Westpac-owned St George went even further by hiking their rates by 0.12 percent.
The RBA was expected to ease rates last month but shocked observers when it left the rate unchanged, citing the resilient domestic economy and improved global outlook.
The decision not to move rates suggested the RBA had confidence in the local economy, buoyed by low unemployment and continued demand for labour.
However, the new dynamic the banks have set up by raising rates independently of the RBA mean borrowers could be hit by a rate rise at any time.
"Borrowers should expect frequent small changes in rates, perhaps as often as every month," Mr Smith said.
Source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Finance, News by Lois Buckett on February 20, 2012 at 11:04 am
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When it comes to planning for retirement, paying off a mortgage should be the cornerstone of security.
Question
I am a 49-year-old single female earning $61,317 a year. I pay a compulsory members contribution of 2 per cent to the Public Servants Superannuation Fund.
I have $96,000 in super and another $11,000 in a rollover fund. I have a $232,000 mortgage on a house in the outer suburbs of Melbourne with repayments of $910 a fortnight.
My preservation age is 58 and my Centrelink age pension age is 67. I was hoping to retire well before 67 as I am barely capable of working full time now.
I realise my super balance is inadequate to enable early retirement. In one year I will attain 10 years service and my employer will match my personal super contributions up to 10 per cent.
I receive $911 a fortnight net wages after mortgage, tax and super deductions, so I struggle financially.
If I increase my super contributions it will create even more hardship.
Should I increase my mortgage repayments instead of increasing the super, or a combination of both?
Should I get income-protection insurance and trauma insurance (reducing my net income further), to avoid calamity if I were to get sick? S.M.
Answer
Yes, you can’t go past the offer to match contributions up to 10 per cent and you need to take this up to the full.
However, you also have to put priority on being able to retire in a mortgage-free home and thus avoid a drain on your retirement income. At least you can then rely on the full-age pension to meet your daily needs.
At your current rate of repayment, it will take you some 17 years to pay off your mortgage, assuming an interest rate of 7.3 per cent. Alternatively, you could pay off a loan of about $155,000 over nine years or $130,000 over seven years.
You need to decide whether you can afford this property or whether you are better off relocating to a smaller unit. Or wait until retirement to sell and then buy what you can then afford without a mortgage, but you’ll pay bigger repayments into a bigger mortgage until then.
For now, open a mortgage offset and use it as your main deposit account so that, by using a 55-day credit card, you can keep as much money in there for as long as possible. It’s the most tax-efficient way to handle your money.
Some people suggest salary sacrificing to the maximum and thus getting a tax deduction, then withdrawing a lump sum at retirement and paying off the mortgage.
This may suit those in high tax brackets, depending on whether their super investments make or lose money, but you are already struggling and will be struggling more.
Rollover the benefit from your rollover fund into, say, the AGEST super fund and buy salary continuance insurance through super so as not to reduce the amount you can put into your mortgage offset account.
That, plus your sick pay entitlements will, hopefully, insure against any trauma.
If you have a question for George Cochrane, send it to
Personal Investment
PO Box 3001
Tamarama, NSW, 2026
Helplines
Banking Ombudsman, 1300 780 808
pensions, 13 23 00
Story source: www.domain.com.au, story by George Cochrane
Filed under Finance, News by Lois Buckett on February 7, 2012 at 2:57 pm
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The Reserve Bank of Australia board has kept interest rates on hold, leaving the official cash rate at 4.25 percent.
The shock move comes as many parts of the economy continue to struggle with the side effects of the mining boom.
Data published yesterday showed retail trade contracted 0.1 percent in December, traditionally the sector’s strongest month.
In anticipation of a rate cut, the Prime Minister and Treasurer earlier urged banks to pass on the cut in full.
But the board’s decision means mortgage holders and borrowers will have to wait another month in hope of further interest rate relief.
The CEO of mortgage comparison company RateCity, Damian Smith, told ninemsn the surprise announcement does not spell impending doom for mortgagees.
"Borrowers shouldn’t be disheartened that the Reserve Bank kept the cash rate at 4.25 percent today because the sluggish home loans market means the ball is in your court," Mr Smith said.
"We’re seeing lenders offering discounts of up to one percent off their standard variable rates for basic home loans and many lenders — including the big four banks — have said they are willing to negotiate to retain their share of the home loan market."
The Australian dollar rose sharply immediately after the news, up more than 0.7 of a US cent.
At 1432 (AEDT), the currency was at 107.79 US cents, compared with 107.06 US cents just before the RBA announced its decision at 1430 (AEST) today.
Source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Finance, News by Lois Buckett on February 6, 2012 at 7:33 pm
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The Board of the Reserve Bank meets on February 7 next week. In July last year Westpac forecast that the next easing cycle would
total 100bps beginning near year’s end. Subsequently, the Board decided to ease the overnight cash rate by 25bps in both November and December. Based on current information, we continue to expect a further 50bps of easings in this cycle with the next move at the February 7 meeting and another to follow in May.
The case supporting a rate cut next week is strong. Market pricing is certainly arguing for a move: current pricing puts an 85% probability on a 25bp cut.
Clearly, a key factor used by the Board to justify the decision to cut rates in December hinged around Europe and funding conditions.
The RBA Governor on December 6 noted, "Financial markets have experienced considerable turbulence and financing conditions have become much more difficult".
It is reasonable to argue that financial market conditions have improved since the December meeting. In the Board minutes it was noted, "Australian banks had found long–term debt markets dislocated" and "wholesale debt markets appeared to be closed to many financial institutions".
Bill Evans, Chief Economist
Westpac Bank
Filed under Finance, News by Lois Buckett on January 5, 2012 at 2:39 pm
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Ongoing discount loans lose momentum
Borrowers’ preference for fixed rate home loans is continuing at an unrelenting pace regardless of recent cash rate cuts, national loan approval data from Mortgage Choice has revealed.
Fixed rate loans accounted for 24% of all new home loan approvals during December 2011, up from 21% in November and well above the 12-month average of 15%. Demand for this loan type has risen for seven consecutive months, increasing 13 percentage points since May 2011.
Company spokesperson Belinda Williamson said, “Consecutive cash rate cuts in November and December 2011 have not swayed Australian borrowers’ desire for fixed rate loans.”
“It is possible borrowers’ need for certainty around their home loan repayments, coupled with the affordability of fixed rate loans are the driving forces behind demand for this loan type.
“During December fixed rates were significantly lower than variable rates, in some cases the difference was one percentage point or more.
“Our loan data shows fixed rates are now more in demand than they have been in over three and a half years at the expense of variable rates, which have lost popularity among new borrowers.
“Customer demand for variable rate loans fell from 79% to 76%, well down on the 12-month average of 85%. The most popular variable rate home loan with new borrowers, ongoing discount rate loans, slipped from 44% to 41%, also well below the 12-month average of 35%.”
Basic variable loan demand rose marginally to 15% of all approvals in December, up from 14% in November while standard variable loan demand fell slightly to 16% from 17%. Interest in line of credit loans dropped to 3% from 4% and the uptake of introductory rate loans was steady at 1%.
For more information visit: www.mortgagechoice.com.au
Filed under Finance, First Home Buyers by Lois Buckett on December 12, 2011 at 5:31 pm
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Home loans by value fell in October and remained flat over the year, suggesting the housing sector remains stagnant.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) said on Monday that total housing finance by value fell 2.5 per cent in October, seasonally adjusted, to $20.458 billion.
The ABS data also showed that the value of home loans was largely unchanged from October 2010, when it was reported at $20.593 billion.
The number of home loans approved in October 2011 rose 0.7 per cent.
National Australia Bank chief economist Robert Henderson said Monday’s data showed the housing market was still deteriorating.
Mr Henderson said it was a fairly dismal report on the housing market, with falling lending in value terms and construction and investment lending both weak.
Recent data, including the national accounts figures released last week, have highlighted the weakness of the housing sector.
"It is clear that over the foreseeable future Australia will fall well short of building the number of new homes required for both owner-occupiers and renters," Housing Industry Association chief economist Harley Dale said.
"Amidst the growing risks to our economy from the situation in Europe, now is the time to be providing stimulus to the new home building sector while at the same time reinvigorating the housing supply reform process, which currently lies dormant."
Commonwealth Bank of Australia senior economist Michael Workman said Monday’s ABS figures were a little softer than he expected.
"If you go back and look at the data over the last 15 years or so, housing credit growth still remains exceptionally weak.
"So, for the housing market, it’s strongly biased towards the buyers rather than sellers and it looks like it’s going to stay that way."
Mr Workman said the Australian dollar and local bond futures were largely unaffected by the data.
RBC Capital Markets fixed income and currency strategist Michael Turner said the October housing figures were a little dated.
"China has already reported trade data for November, and the finance data do not reflect the November and December (monetary) policy easing (in Australia)," he said.
"As such, there are limited implications for markets.
"We expect more timely domestic data to better reflect the softening in global growth in coming months, which should justify further easing (of interest rates) and a move to accommodative territory in 2012."
ICAP senior economist Adam Carr said the housing data showed the Australian lending market was recovering even before the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates.
The cash rate is now at 4.25 per cent after two consecutive 25-basis point cuts in November and December.
"The 50-basis points worth of cuts we’ve seen will likely see lending growth accelerate over coming months, which will start to add to the strong private demand numbers we’ve seen to date," Mr Carr said.
Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Finance, First Home Buyers by Lois Buckett on December 9, 2011 at 4:57 pm
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The property market will be drawing a collective sigh of relief as the year comes to a close.
As we look back on how the market performed in 2011, we may well see an overall correction of up to 10 per cent – a significant drop for the property market but a fraction of the sharemarket correction of 2008.
As we gaze into the crystal ball and wonder what 2012 has in store for home owners and property investors, there are a few indicators that suggest we are entering calmer waters.
With Europe in crisis, the US economy anaemic and China cooling, interest rates are on the way down. Experts predict the Reserve Bank will cut rates on Tuesday by 25 basis points and there will be a further reduction of up to 100 basis points throughout 2012.
Falling interest rates instantly increase affordability and entice people back to the market. Buyers rushed back in 2001 and 2009 mainly due to falling interest rates. The main difference next year is that it is unlikely to come packaged with increased first home buyer incentives.
Property is a great Australian pastime and this continues to be the case.
Web statistics show that, although competition for property was soft in 2011, web browsing continues to be very high. Nielsen’s online analysis of real estate portals suggests more than 3 million Australians search for property each month. That means about 15 per cent of the population is actively looking at property at any onetime.
This activity flows on to the physical market, with many agents reporting high numbers at inspections for good quality homes. Despite the level of interest, many people believe that 2011 has not been the right time to buy.
This means first home buyers and investors have stayed out of the property market. The effect is increased demand for rental property and a lowering of supply. As a result, we are likely to see rental yields lift next year.
According to the Reserve Bank, household savings rates are at their highest levels since the mid-1980s. They have been moving up since the mid-2000s, reaching 10.5 per cent of disposable income in the June quarter.
Many borrowers have been making substantial excess principal repayments in recent years and this will increase their equity and cash flow positions.
For many people, myself included, money begins to burn a hole in our pockets. The people who have been saving and have job stability – which is 95 per cent of the population – will start to realise the sky is not falling and will begin to make a move.
All markets are cyclical and often the greatest period of growth comes directly after the biggest falls.
I think when we look back on 2012 in years to come these factors will likely result in a bounce in median values, and the market will be back to where it started before 2011 hit.
Mark Armstrong is an independent property analyst and creator of propertytycoon.com.au, Australia’s first online auction tipping competition.
Source: www.domain.com.au
Filed under Finance, News by Lois Buckett on December 6, 2011 at 3:36 pm
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The Reserve Bank of Australia board has cut the official interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.25 per cent, giving mortgage holders and borrowers a pre-Christmas reprieve.
The RBA announced the rate cut at 2.30pm AEDT today following the board’s final meeting for the year.
It’s the second interest rate cut in as many months after the RBA lowered the cash rate on Melbourne Cup day in November.
In a statement issued with the announcement, RBA Governor Glenn Stevens said there had been "considerable turbulence" in financial markets and said financing conditions had become more difficult.
"This, together with precautionary behaviour by firms and households, means that the likelihood of a further material slowing in global growth has increased," Mr Stevens said in a statement accompanying the decision on Tuesday.
Economics analyst Ross Greenwood said Europe’s debt crisis would have been a significant factor in the RBA’s decision.
"The Reserve Bank indicated that it is still concerned about the European economic situation and the prospects of a global slowdown hurting Australia and its export markets," Greenwood told ninemsn.
While it’s good news for mortgage holders and borrowers, Greenwood cautioned consumers not to expect the banks to pass on the full interest rate.
Analysts were divided about whether the RBA would cut the rate today, with a survey of 14 economists conducted by AAP revealing seven tipping a cut, and seven predicting rates would stay on hold for another month.
Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Finance, First Home Buyers by Lois Buckett on December 6, 2011 at 11:58 am
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Economists are divided on whether borrowers will get a second interest rate cut in as many months on Tuesday.
Seven of the 14 economists surveyed by AAP say the RBA will cut the cash rate to 4.25 per cent from 4.5 per cent on December 6.
On Melbourne Cup day, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the cash rate from 4.75 per cent, saying that recent information suggested inflation had been contained.
With inflation no longer a problem, the bias for the RBA is now firmly leaning towards rate cuts, with 10 of the 14 economists forecasting rate cuts by the middle of 2012.
Citigroup head of economics Paul Brennan is expecting the RBA to cut rates on Tuesday, despite expectations of strong economic growth in the September quarter.
"We see this as a policy of least regret given that the outlook for global growth has continued to weaken in the past month to well below trend," Mr Brennan said.
"We see scope to lower the cash rate to the bottom of the neutral range over the next few months, which would imply a cash rate of four per cent over the next three months."
The biggest risk to economic growth comes from Europe, which may well go into recession, or start another financial crisis, as several members of the euro struggle to meet debt repayments.
There are also local risks to economic growth.
In the past month the RBA, Treasury and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) have cut economic growth forecasts for 2012.
In addition to that, official figures for October showed a 10.7 per cent fall in building approvals and retail spending only rising 0.2 per cent.
On the other hand Australia’s mining boom is still going strong, with the sector making its biggest ever contribution to economic growth.
Nomura Australia chief economist Stephen Roberts said he doesn’t expect the cash rate to move for the foreseeable future unless something bad happens overseas.
"My forecast is that they are going to leave it at 4.5 per cent," he said.
"I’m assuming they will hold it neutral all the way through to the end of 2012 but my proviso is if Europe generally does go to hell in a handbasket, then they can drop interest rates a long way."
NAB senior economist Spiros Papadopoulos said the RBA won’t cut on Tuesday but by early next year the pressure will build for another rate cut.
"Obviously there’s a risk that they might cut interest rates next week, given everything that’s been happening offshore in the last couple of weeks," he said.
"On balance, given the fact that the domestic economy has been holding up okay we don’t think they need to rush in to cutting rates."
Story source: www.ninemsn.com.au
Filed under Finance, First Home Buyers by Lois Buckett on November 21, 2011 at 10:03 am
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House hunters who are pre-approved plan for a happier New Year
Future first homebuyers considering making their property move in the New Year have strong awareness of the importance of seeking loan pre-approval before house hunting, based on insights from national mortgage broker, Mortgage Choice.
A Mortgage Choice survey of first homebuyers looking to purchase before February 2013 found two-thirds of respondents intend to apply for loan pre-approval*.
According to Acting Head of Corporate Affairs, Belinda Williamson, first homebuyers are seeking assurance about their borrowing capacity before starting their property search.
“Our survey showed primed first homebuyers are making the wise choice to get their property finance pre-approved by a lender. This step helps buyers hone their property search and shop with confidence when negotiating a purchase or bidding at auction,” Ms Williamson said.
“Loan pre-approval provides a conditional approval of a loan amount and is usually based on an assessment of potential borrowers’ individual circumstances, needs and ability to repay the loan.
“Keep in mind it’s usually a limited time offer, for a period of three to six months and can be sourced through a mortgage broker. Once pre-approved, it’s important to keep your broker up to speed with any changes in your financial situation as this may void the agreement.
“It pays to shop around. Not all lenders offer loan pre-approval and some don’t conduct individual assessments, meaning you may get a different loan limit upon applying for unconditional approval and, like those without pre-approval, you could miss out on a property if it’s above your loan limit.
“If you are looking to purchase in the New Year now is a good time get pre-approved so you don’t miss out on potential property purchases over the holiday period.”
Mortgage Choice has compiled three top tips to help potential borrowers prepare for home loan pre-approval:
Organise your deposit and evidence of savings – You generally need a deposit of at least 5% of the purchase price, plus upfront costs. However, you will need to show evidence of a genuine savings plan, such as bank statements that illustrate a savings strategy for at least three and up to six consecutive months. Note some lenders now consider rent payments as savings evidence.
Check your credit history – Grey areas in your credit history, such as bill defaults and/or prior loan/credit applications can affect your loan pre-approval application. Resolve any issues with the relevant debt provider before you apply. For a copy of your credit file from mycreditfile.com.au you must provide personal details including your address, employment and driver’s licence number.
Prepare your paperwork – Gather evidence of your employment, income, assets, liabilities and expenses. You will also need to provide your driver’s licence or other ID, recent pay slips, tax returns and bank statements. Having everything at arm’s reach will streamline this process.
Story source: www.mortgagechoice.com.au
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